{"id":9414,"date":"2020-10-20T20:48:17","date_gmt":"2020-10-20T23:48:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sabado100.com.ar\/?p=9414"},"modified":"2020-10-20T20:48:17","modified_gmt":"2020-10-20T23:48:17","slug":"impacto-de-la-recesion-y-del-covid-19-en-el-pbg-de-la-provincia-de-santa-fe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sabado100.com.ar\/es-ar\/impacto-de-la-recesion-y-del-covid-19-en-el-pbg-de-la-provincia-de-santa-fe\/","title":{"rendered":"Impacto de la recesi\u00f3n y del COVID 19 en el PBG de la provincia de Santa Fe"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

El Centro de Estudios y Servicios de la Bolsa de Comercio de Santa Fe, en un informe especial, calcul\u00f3 en $ 55.130 millones, el costo en t\u00e9rminos de Producto Bruto Geogr\u00e1fico de la Provincia de Santa Fe, hasta el mes de julio de 2020. Esto es por la recesi\u00f3n de la actividad econ\u00f3mica en la que se encuentra la provincia desde principios de 2018, agudizada por la aparici\u00f3n de la pandemia por COVID-19.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Este primer c\u00e1lculo de los efectos surge de la ca\u00edda en un 2,2% del PGB, seg\u00fan los datos provenientes del \u00edndice Compuesto de Actividad Econ\u00f3mica de la Provincia de Santa Fe (ICASFe), en los primeros siete meses de 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El informe ubica entre $ 2.424.763 y $ 2.492.072 millones la estimaci\u00f3n del PBG de la Provincia de Santa Fe, seg\u00fan la medici\u00f3n que se tome, y considerando que tuvo un crecimiento nulo respecto de 2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Un punto porcentual del PBG 2020 representa, entonces, $ 24.500 millones y como la variaci\u00f3n acumulada negativa se ubic\u00f3 en 2,2% entre enero y julio, la estimaci\u00f3n a la que arriba el CES es $ 55.130 millones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Variaci\u00f3n mensual del ICASFe y el costo equivalente en t\u00e9rminos del PBG<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Fuente:<\/strong> elaboraci\u00f3n propia en base a datos del IPEC, INDEC, CES-BCSF y BCRA<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

El trabajo t\u00e9cnico del Centro de Estudios recuerda a su vez, que la Argentina y en particular la Provincia de Santa Fe, vienen atravesando un proceso recesivo desde comiendo de 2018. \u201cEn febrero de 2020, nuestra econom\u00eda atravesaba el mes contractivo n\u00famero 26 de forma consecutiva. En ese escenario desfavorable, la pandemia del COVID 19 ingresa en el territorio provincial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cPor lo tanto, los efectos provocados por el aislamiento estricto que se decreta en marzo en todo el pa\u00eds, se acoplaron con la fase contractiva que ya  experimentaba la econom\u00eda con dos a\u00f1os de anterioridad\u201d, sostiene el CES. Agrega que este factor marca una diferencia significativa con los pa\u00edses de la regi\u00f3n y con el mundo, en general, donde se observaba un escenario de crecimiento econ\u00f3mico y una proyecci\u00f3n alcista para 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Principales conclusiones<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

  • Las estimaciones para el\u00a0 PBG de la provincia de Santa Fe de 2020 se\u00f1alan una cifra de $2.424.763 y $2.492.072 millones bajo el supuesto de crecimiento nulo con respecto a 2019.<\/li>
  • Por lo tanto, un punto porcentual del PBG 2020 representa alrededor de $24.500 millones de pesos corrientes.<\/li>
  • En febrero de 2020, la econom\u00eda atravesaba su contracci\u00f3n mensual consecutiva n\u00famero 26. En este escenario desfavorable, la pandemia de COVID-19 alcanza el territorio nacional.<\/li>
  • En marzo 2020, el aislamiento estricto decretado en todo el pa\u00eds agudiz\u00f3 los efectos recesivos.<\/li>
  • Para los meses de enero a julio de 2020, la variaci\u00f3n acumulada del -2,2% de la actividad econ\u00f3mica marcada por el ICASFe, representa una p\u00e9rdida acumulada aproximada de $55.130 millones de pesos corrientes de PBG.<\/li>
  • En marzo, se estima que la econom\u00eda provincial sufri\u00f3 una p\u00e9rdida de $25.284 millones potenciales, de los cuales $8.889 millones se atribuyen a las restricciones del ASPO.<\/li>
  • La actividad econ\u00f3mica en abril marc\u00f3 un descenso de -0,77% respecto al mes anterior. La baja imputada al ASPO (-0,11 p.p) equivale a otros $ 2.719 millones de pesos.<\/li><\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Un informe del CES calcula, entre enero y julio, un costo total en t\u00e9rminos de producto de 55.130 millones de pesos<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":9415,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9414","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"\nImpacto de la recesi\u00f3n y del COVID 19 en el PBG de la provincia de Santa Fe - 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