{"id":4708,"date":"2016-11-13T15:48:43","date_gmt":"2016-11-13T13:48:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sabado100.com.ar\/?p=4708"},"modified":"2016-11-13T15:48:43","modified_gmt":"2016-11-13T13:48:43","slug":"por-que-gano-trump","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sabado100.com.ar\/es-ar\/por-que-gano-trump\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfPor qu\u00e9 gan\u00f3 Trump?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Por Rodolfo Zehnder.-<\/strong> Finalmente, el tsunami pol\u00editico se produjo. Donald Trump gan\u00f3 la elecciones contra el pron\u00f3stico y el deseo de muchos, y el desconcierto de la mayor\u00eda de las encuestadoras que otra vez y van&#8230; fallaron en sus estimaciones.<br \/>\nIntentaremos dar una explicaci\u00f3n de lo ocurrido, partiendo de la base de que resultar\u00e1 err\u00f3neo interpretar acontecimientos utilizando categor\u00edas de an\u00e1lisis extra\u00f1as al lugar donde se produjeron. Esto es, intentar entender lo sucedido en clave argentina, con criterios nuestros, en lugar de hacerlo en clave norteamericana, con criterios y categor\u00edas que all\u00ed, y no aqu\u00ed, tienen relevancia.<br \/>\nEn primer lugar, resulta claro que Trump gan\u00f3 por defecto, o sea por defecto de su contendiente, Hillary Clinton. La candidata del Partido Dem\u00f3crata nunca cay\u00f3 bien en la consideraci\u00f3n del norteamericano: mentirosa, quiz\u00e1 corrupta, no cre\u00edble, representante del establishment de la Casa Blanca, de un Washington alejado de las necesidades de la gente, nunca fue visualizada como una instancia francamente superadora de su adversario; en todo caso, para sus votantes siempre fue \u201cel mal menor\u201d, y esto suele no ser suficiente para ganar una elecci\u00f3n.<br \/>\nEn segundo lugar, Trump cosech\u00f3 adhesiones insospechadas si se lo mira de lejos, pero no demasiado sorprendentes si se analiza bien. A Trump no lo votaron solamente los americanos de clase media, o media baja, en su mayor\u00eda blancos y de escaso nivel de instrucci\u00f3n (colegio secundario o menos), sino tambi\u00e9n la gran mayor\u00eda de los cubanos radicados en EE.UU. y muchos latinos documentados, o sea con sus papeles en regla, que ven en los indocumentados una competencia desleal y que no ver\u00edan con malos ojos que se desarrollaran pol\u00edticas restrictivas en torno a la inmigraci\u00f3n.<br \/>\nPor otra parte, creer que ganar en los Estados m\u00e1s sofisticados, l\u00e9ase Nueva York, California, Pennsylvania, Maryland o la capital entre otros, era suficiente para una elecci\u00f3n general, fue un grueso error de apreciaci\u00f3n. Esa minor\u00eda ilustrada, sofisticada, globalizada, liberal (en el sentido norteamericano, o sea progresista) no deja de ser una minor\u00eda, muchas veces prebendaria de la pol\u00edtica de Washington, pero que no representa a la mayor\u00eda de esa \u201cAm\u00e9rica profunda\u201d, del interior del pa\u00eds, de las zonas rurales, donde impera el conservadorismo m\u00e1s puro, con ribetes nacionalistas.<br \/>\nSi gan\u00f3 por defecto, vale admitir que Trump tambi\u00e9n gan\u00f3 por caracter\u00edsticas de su personalidad y de su mensaje, caras al sentimiento norteamericano. Trump se present\u00f3 como un \u201coutsider\u201d, como alguien que viene fuera de la pol\u00edtica a juzgar a la pol\u00edtica tradicional, la de Washington, la de los que hicieron de la pol\u00edtica no el arte de lograr el bien com\u00fan sino el instrumento para el enriquecimiento de unos pocos.<br \/>\nTrump encarna, entonces, esa bronca, no tanto al estilo de los indignados espa\u00f1oles, pero s\u00ed representativa del divorcio que el americano medio siente por pol\u00edticas que, a pesar del mayor acercamiento que signific\u00f3 la administraci\u00f3n de Obama, no logr\u00f3 solucionar los problemas claves: la creciente inseguridad, los altos impuestos, el cada vez m\u00e1s dif\u00edcil por lo oneroso acceso a la universidad, la competencia que significa la apertura globalizada de la econom\u00eda.<br \/>\nTrump se presenta, casi, como el ideal del americano: exitoso, de fuerte personalidad, carism\u00e1tico, de lenguaje llano y directo, del representante del \u201cself made man\u201d, del hombre que se hace s\u00f3lo y puede, con su sola voluntad y no la del estado, abrirse camino con \u00e9xito en la vida.<br \/>\nPoco import\u00f3 sus bravuconadas (que por el contrario a muchos les cay\u00f3 bien), sus diatribas respecto de las mujeres (aunque se ocup\u00f3 en aclararlas), contra los inmigrantes en general (aunque se sabe que el problema son los indocumentados), su falta de propuestas concretas, su grado de imprevisibilidad, que en estos momentos desvela a m\u00e1s de uno y a los mercados.<br \/>\nCuando Reagan asumi\u00f3 la Presidencia, en enero de 1981, pocos hablando siempre de establishment y de la inteligencia progresista cre\u00edan que iba a a hacer un buen gobierno. \u00bfNo era acaso un actor de Hollywood y de segunda l\u00ednea? Sin embargo, ven\u00eda de hacer una excelente gobernaci\u00f3n en California. \u00bfCu\u00e1l fue su secreto? Rodearse de los mejores. Una vez presidente, convengamos en que, para los norteamericanos, no le fue nada mal, repitiendo su esquema de trabajo: rodearse de gente capaz.<br \/>\nEs dable suponer que Trump har\u00e1 lo mismo, con lo cual las voces agoreras que hoy por hoy se escuchan en todo el mundo ver\u00e1n caerse, una vez m\u00e1s, sus sombr\u00edos pron\u00f3sticos. De todos modos, la incertidumbre es una de las caracter\u00edsticas de esta era posmoderna, y la din\u00e1mica de los procesos mundiales es tan acelerada e imprevisible que mal podr\u00edamos aventurarnos en profec\u00edas&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Fuente:<\/strong> diario La Opini\u00f3n, Rafaela, 12\/11\/2016.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Por Rodolfo Zehnder.- Finalmente, el tsunami pol\u00editico se produjo. Donald Trump gan\u00f3 la elecciones contra el pron\u00f3stico y el deseo [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[5540],"class_list":["post-4708","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politica","tag-por-que-gano-trump"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u00bfPor qu\u00e9 gan\u00f3 Trump? - Sabado 100<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sabado100.com.ar\/es-ar\/por-que-gano-trump\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u00bfPor qu\u00e9 gan\u00f3 Trump? - Sabado 100\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Por Rodolfo Zehnder.- Finalmente, el tsunami pol\u00editico se produjo. 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