{"id":35354,"date":"2025-09-27T02:03:29","date_gmt":"2025-09-27T02:03:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sabado100.com.ar\/es-ar\/?p=35354"},"modified":"2025-09-27T02:03:30","modified_gmt":"2025-09-27T02:03:30","slug":"el-salvavidas-de-washington-todos-contentos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sabado100.com.ar\/es-ar\/el-salvavidas-de-washington-todos-contentos\/","title":{"rendered":"El salvavidas de Washington: \u00bftodos contentos?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Por Eduardo Reina<\/a>.-<\/strong> Es una buena noticia: en medio de la crisis poselectoral, Javier Milei consigui\u00f3 en Estados Unidos un\u00a0rescate financiero<\/strong>\u00a0que, seg\u00fan el secretario del Tesoro norteamericano, busca evitar que el \u201cpopulismo kirchnerista\u201d vuelva a la Casa Rosada. Y como si no alcanzara,\u00a0Donald Trump\u00a0<\/strong>lo bendijo con un\u00a0respaldo expl\u00edcito\u00a0<\/strong>que incluso habla de \u201creelecci\u00f3n\u201d, sin reparar en que este a\u00f1o hay legislativas, no presidenciales. \u00bfUn error de c\u00e1lculo o un mensaje a largo plazo?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El respaldo es in\u00e9dito, pero la pregunta es inevitable: \u00bfalcanza? Tal vez s\u00ed, siempre que logre sostenerse en un pa\u00eds que arrastra fracturas internas, debilidad institucional y un plan econ\u00f3mico todav\u00eda demasiado endeble<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Los beneficios para Washington\u00a0son claros<\/strong>. Argentina maneja recursos cr\u00edticos -litio, cereales, energ\u00eda- que Estados Unidos quiere preservar de la influencia china y de la expansi\u00f3n de los BRICS. Ante la necesidad cr\u00f3nica de divisas que arrastra nuestro pa\u00eds desde hace d\u00e9cadas, este salvavidas financiero abre la puerta a que las empresas norteamericanas\u00a0tengan prioridad en sectores estrat\u00e9gicos<\/strong>, refuerza el alineamiento diplom\u00e1tico en foros como el FMI y la ONU y asegura a Washington una posici\u00f3n de poder sobre un socio que hist\u00f3ricamente ha oscilado entre Oriente y Occidente. Es, adem\u00e1s, el \u00fanico gobierno en la regi\u00f3n con el cual Estados Unidos puede hoy extender su influencia en Latinoam\u00e9rica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump no da votos, s\u00ed gobernabilidad<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

No hay altruismo en este gesto<\/strong>. Se trata de un intercambio de liquidez por lealtad geopol\u00edtica<\/strong>. Ese pacto implicar\u00e1 concesiones: acceso privilegiado al capital estadounidense, exclusi\u00f3n de proyectos tecnol\u00f3gicos con China y alineamiento en las disputas globales que marcan la agenda. El costo ser\u00e1 menos margen de maniobra para Argentina, con el riesgo de erosionar, una vez m\u00e1s, la autonom\u00eda pol\u00edtica y la legitimidad social.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La apuesta, sin embargo, parece fr\u00e1gil<\/strong>. Las conexiones con la banca y el comercio estadounidense son mucho m\u00e1s d\u00e9biles que las que tuvo M\u00e9xico en los a\u00f1os noventa. El Fondo de Estabilizaci\u00f3n Cambiaria, no es inagotable y los mercados pondr\u00e1n a prueba la durabilidad de ese apoyo. Si Milei tropieza pol\u00edticamente, la ayuda puede transformarse en un gesto simb\u00f3lico antes que en un verdadero ancla estabilizadora.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A ello se suma el factor Trump. Su respaldo es tan vol\u00e1til como su estado de \u00e1nimo<\/strong>: puede estar euf\u00f3rico hoy y desaparecer ma\u00f1ana, arrastrando consigo compromisos que parec\u00edan s\u00f3lidos. Nada asegura continuidad cuando los apoyos dependen del humor de un l\u00edder imprevisible y del pulso cambiante de la pol\u00edtica norteamericana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La advertencia hist\u00f3rica no puede ignorarse. Cada vez que Argentina hipotec\u00f3 autonom\u00eda a cambio de un salvavidas externo -desde el Plan Pinedo hasta los pactos con el FMI-\u00a0el alivio fue ef\u00edmero y la factura, eterna<\/strong>. Hoy la dimensi\u00f3n es mayor: ya no se trata solo de deuda y disciplina fiscal, sino de alineamientos estrat\u00e9gicos que recuerdan a la Guerra Fr\u00eda. Entonces fue Washington contra Mosc\u00fa; ahora es Washington contra Pek\u00edn y los BRICS. La diferencia es que Argentina juega con recursos que el mundo necesita, pero con la misma fragilidad pol\u00edtica de siempre. La pregunta es si hace falta vender el alma a un solo comprador o si conviene, en cambio, sumar al mundo a un proyecto propio de crecimiento.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El Banco Mundial anunci\u00f3 un nuevo pr\u00e9stamo por US$ 4.000 millones para la Argentina<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump defini\u00f3 a Milei como un l\u00edder \u201cfant\u00e1stico y poderoso que avanza a velocidad r\u00e9cord\u201d. Puede ser otra oportunidad de oro para la Argentina. Pero si no resolvemos la sustentabilidad interna, este desembolso y apoyo extraordinario se ir\u00e1 diluyendo con el tiempo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El desaf\u00edo es dejar de pensar solo en lo electoral y empezar a gobernar<\/strong>. Reconstruir significa cortar la descapitalizaci\u00f3n y recuperar la confianza para que regresen el cr\u00e9dito y el capital de trabajo. Ello requiere ordenar pagos y cadenas productivas, establecer una disciplina fiscal clara que limite el gasto discrecional, unificar la caja del Estado, garantizar la trazabilidad de cada d\u00f3lar y dar apoyo real a los exportadores para sostener la generaci\u00f3n de divisas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Si Argentina aprovecha este salvavidas para construir un proyecto propio de reconstrucci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica, habr\u00e1 valido la pena. Si no, volver\u00e1 a repetir el viejo ciclo<\/strong>: d\u00f3lares prestados, autonom\u00eda hipotecada y futuro incierto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fuente:<\/strong> https:\/\/www.perfil.com\/<\/a> El autor es analista politico, consultor especializado en Comunicaci\u00f3n Institucional y Pol\u00edtica, doctorando en Comunicaci\u00f3n (Universidad Catolica Argentina), magister en Comunicaci\u00f3n y Marketing Pol\u00edtico en la Universidad del Salvador. Postgraduate Business and Management por la Universidad de California Ext. Berkeley, EE.UU. profesor Protitular en UCA.\u00a0@ossoreina<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Si Argentina aprovecha el rescate para construir un proyecto propio de reconstrucci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica, habr\u00e1 valido la pena. Si no, volver\u00e1 a repetir el viejo ciclo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":35355,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[8099],"class_list":["post-35354","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politica","tag-el-salvavidas-de-washington-todos-contentos"],"yoast_head":"\nEl salvavidas de Washington: \u00bftodos contentos? - Sabado 100<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sabado100.com.ar\/es-ar\/el-salvavidas-de-washington-todos-contentos\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"El salvavidas de Washington: \u00bftodos contentos? - Sabado 100\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Si Argentina aprovecha el rescate para construir un proyecto propio de reconstrucci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica, habr\u00e1 valido la pena. 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