{"id":22661,"date":"2023-07-20T16:43:05","date_gmt":"2023-07-20T19:43:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sabado100.com.ar\/?p=22661"},"modified":"2023-07-20T16:43:05","modified_gmt":"2023-07-20T19:43:05","slug":"por-que-el-precio-del-dolar-blue-sube-a-los-saltos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sabado100.com.ar\/es-ar\/por-que-el-precio-del-dolar-blue-sube-a-los-saltos\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfPor qu\u00e9 el precio del d\u00f3lar blue sube a los saltos?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Por <a href=\"https:\/\/www.lanacion.com.ar\/autor\/juan-carlos-de-pablo-411\/\">Juan Carlos de Pablo<\/a>.-<\/strong> Cuando necesito conocer la cotizaci\u00f3n del d\u00f3lar en el segmento blue del mercado de cambios no me molesto en consultar las pantallas, sino que le presto atenci\u00f3n al n\u00famero de llamados que recibo de los periodistas.\u00a0<strong>Si varios me llaman para que explique qu\u00e9 pas\u00f3, s\u00e9 que aument\u00f3; si no me llaman significa que permaneci\u00f3 constante o que disminuy\u00f3<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L\u00f3gica period\u00edstica que no sirve para entender. Porque la profesionalidad invita a prestarle atenci\u00f3n al \u00faltimo n\u00famero, pero poni\u00e9ndolo en contexto, que\u00a0<strong>en el caso del precio del d\u00f3lar implica mirar la evoluci\u00f3n a lo largo del tiempo.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Con fines ilustrativos, consigno el precio del d\u00f3lar blue a fines del a\u00f1o pasado y a fines de cada uno de los meses del a\u00f1o en curso: $346 a fines de 2022, $381 a fines de enero, $375 a fines de febrero, $395 a fines de marzo, $469 a fines de abril, $490 a fines de mayo y $494 a fines de junio de 2023.&nbsp;<strong>Lo cual implica que, durante el primer semestre del a\u00f1o en curso, el precio de d\u00f3lar blue aument\u00f3 43%.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Durante el mismo per\u00edodo, los precios al consumidor subieron 51%.<\/strong>&nbsp;Si en julio el precio del d\u00f3lar blue aumentara m\u00e1s que los precios internos, no har\u00eda m\u00e1s que recuperar parte del terreno perdido durante el primer semestre.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>La toma de decisiones plantea un par de interrogantes. El primero tiene que ver con las razones por las cuales mientras el tipo de cambio oficial aumenta todos los d\u00edas, el blue salta y permanece alg\u00fan tiempo en el nuevo nivel<\/strong>. \u00bfC\u00f3mo se explica esto \u00faltimo? Dif\u00edcil saberlo sin caer en las explicaciones conspirativas seg\u00fan las cuales dicho mercado est\u00e1 manejado por unos pocos.&nbsp;<strong>Lo cierto es que \u201calguien\u201d da el primer paso y los dem\u00e1s lo siguen; o todos son impactados por alguna noticia.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>El otro interrogante tiene que ver con las expectativas que est\u00e1 generando la alta probabilidad de que la oposici\u00f3n gane las PASO primero y la elecci\u00f3n propiamente dicha despu\u00e9s<\/strong>&nbsp;y, por consiguiente, el pr\u00f3ximo gobierno sea mejor que el actual. Pero si esto es as\u00ed cabe esperar una disminuci\u00f3n de la demanda de d\u00f3lares en favor de colocaciones en pesos, en dep\u00f3sitos, tenencias de activos financieros, etc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El p\u00e1rrafo anterior busca complicarles la vida a quienes piensan que siempre el precio del d\u00f3lar le va a ganar a la inflaci\u00f3n, hip\u00f3tesis que ignora que el d\u00f3lar es finalmente una moneda, que por consiguiente est\u00e1 sujeta a inflaci\u00f3n y, m\u00e1s importante, que<strong>\u00a0en la Argentina la recuperaci\u00f3n de la credibilidad disminuye el poder adquisitivo interno del d\u00f3lar<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Fuente:<\/strong> https:\/\/www.lanacion.com.ar\/<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lanacion.com.ar\/economia\/vence-el-plazo-para-un-tramite-clave-que-deben-hacer-los-monotributistas-todo-lo-que-hay-que-saber-nid19072023\/\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dif\u00edcil saberlo sin caer en las explicaciones conspirativas seg\u00fan las cuales el mercado est\u00e1 manejado por unos pocos; lo cierto es que \u201calguien\u201d da el primer paso y los dem\u00e1s lo siguen.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":22662,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[1123],"class_list":["post-22661","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia","tag-por-que-el-precio-del-dolar-blue-sube-a-los-saltos"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u00bfPor qu\u00e9 el precio del d\u00f3lar blue sube a los saltos? 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